Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 198.111015 228.665745 263.258307 305.501136 355.933875 414.509749 488.122382
2025-10-12 161.703293 202.095537 252.355068 320.210193 410.534618 528.209297 695.730623
2025-10-19 135.499630 178.600882 235.774348 318.541365 437.611331 606.376937 870.461816
2025-10-26 120.938552 166.455181 230.087990 327.743243 477.860540 706.875984 1096.946482
2025-11-02 108.785582 155.203783 223.013037 332.375306 510.414910 800.244087 1333.193946
2025-11-09 99.420981 146.383903 217.705656 337.965457 544.233880 900.810827 1605.778037
2025-11-16 90.478218 136.878914 209.757322 337.529804 567.088606 986.056243 1871.579868
2025-11-23 82.857681 128.434745 202.223306 336.273343 587.641977 1070.323894 2157.637507
2025-11-30 77.199598 122.456163 197.875635 339.663232 616.869216 1176.579837 2520.971706
2025-12-07 69.638719 112.477295 185.511164 326.601392 611.838178 1211.759573 2731.238250
2025-12-14 64.427130 105.979901 178.479330 322.495372 623.903963 1285.486235 3058.283619
2025-12-21 61.030867 102.302374 176.055363 326.884418 654.279950 1406.376474 3548.753952
2025-12-28 59.519660 102.273258 181.132075 348.790412 731.109572 1665.977772 4567.079063
2026-01-04 57.326513 100.820368 183.474933 365.831726 801.953085 1935.869192 5771.543915
2026-01-11 53.320929 95.489060 177.519272 363.875393 826.872006 2092.189899 6690.241024
2026-01-18 51.004097 93.155605 177.273559 374.638232 886.251303 2365.483444 8204.825123
2026-01-25 48.414674 89.998381 174.910830 380.059318 932.979491 2617.803202 9814.792650
2026-02-01 46.160934 87.282002 173.141198 386.604501 984.530358 2904.986353 11800.221985
2026-02-08 43.561190 83.592495 168.815072 386.094311 1015.869146 3136.706222 13719.047658
2026-02-15 41.132449 80.034236 164.381075 384.622983 1044.220909 3369.873016 15861.650467
2026-02-22 39.290497 77.560857 162.138063 388.592927 1090.755240 3691.729554 18840.102935
2026-03-01 36.358287 72.462305 153.271709 373.302198 1071.709515 3747.363508 20233.043371
2026-03-08 34.328198 69.194886 148.419599 368.499000 1086.988777 3954.362855 22893.068853